Alan's Psychadelic Earthquake Breakfast - Teh Forum

<body> <div id="header"> <span class="left"> <span class="back"><a href="lthread_list.php?webtag=DEFAULT"><span class="image mobile_back" title="Back"></span></a></span> <span class="image mobile_logo" title="Beehive Forum Logo"></span> </span> <ul> <li> <a class="reply_all" href="lpost.php?webtag=DEFAULT&reply_to=39777.0&return_msg=39777.1"> <span class="image mobile_reply_all"></span><span class="text">Reply to All</span> </a> </li> <li> <a class="navigation" href="#"> <span class="image mobile_navigation"></span><span class="text">Show messages</span> </a> </li> <li> <a class="main" href="#"><span class="image mobile_menu" title="Menu"></span> </a> </li> </ul> </div> <div class="menu main"> <ul> <li><a href="lthread_list.php?webtag=DEFAULT">Messages</a></li> <li><a href="lpm.php?webtag=DEFAULT">Inbox</a></li> <li><a href="lsearch.php?webtag=DEFAULT">Search</a></li> <li><a href="llogon.php?webtag=DEFAULT">Login</a></li> </ul> </div> <div class="menu navigation"><a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.1">1–10</a><a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.11">11–20</a>…<a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.391">391–392</a></div> <div id="page_content"> <h3 class="thread_title"><a href="index.php?webtag=DEFAULT&amp;msg=39777.1">Alan's Psychadelic Earthquake Breakfast</a> </h3> <div id="messages" data-navigation="39777_1_392_10"> <div class="message"> Message 39777.1 was deleted</div> <a name="a39777_2"></a><div class="message" id="message_39777_2"> <div class="message_header"> <div class="message_from"> From: Drew (X3N0PH0N)<span class="message_time"> 2 Aug 2012 22:00</span> <div class="clearer"></div> </div><div class="message_to">To: Al JunioR (53NORTH) <span><span class="image post_read" title="Read: 2 Aug 2012 23:29"></span></span> <span class="message_count">2 of 392</span><div class="clearer"></div> </div> </div> <div class="message_links"> <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.2">39777.2</a> In reply to <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.1#a39777_1" target="_self">39777.1</a></div> <div class="message_body"> I think the problem is that you're talking like an astrologer (or, worse, an economist). You're not making any specific claims. <br /> <br /> You're all like "Woooooo, wooooo... I see in the mists that there will be an earthquake along the pacific rim of fire at some point in the future.... wooooo... wooooo ... the spirits are leaving me now, I grow weary <dramatic slump>".<br /> <br /> How about, right, instead of this, you make a thread which you update with clear predictions in this form:<br /> <br /> There will be an earthquake in PLACE on DATE of MAGNITUDE MAGNITUDE give or take ACCURACY MARGIN and I am PERCENTAGE OF CERTAINTY% certain of this.<br /> <br /> That and nothing more. None of this 'earthquakes are actually caused by tuna burps' nonsense. Save that for another thread. Just where, when, size and likelihood.<br /> <br /> Then someone who understand stats can work out how well you're doing, perhaps compared to the pros.</div> <div class="message_footer"> <div class="message_footer_links"><a href="lpost.php?webtag=DEFAULT&reply_to=39777.2&return_msg=39777.1" class="reply"><span class="image post"></span>Reply</a></div> <div class="message_vote_form" data-msg="39777.2"> <span class="rating">0/0</span> <span class="image vote vote_down vote_down_off" title="Vote Down"></span> <span class="image vote vote_up vote_up_off" title="Vote Up"></span> </div> </div> </div><a name="a39777_3"></a><div class="message" id="message_39777_3"> <div class="message_header"> <div class="message_from"> From: Peter (BOUGHTONP)<span class="message_time"> 2 Aug 2012 22:13</span> <div class="clearer"></div> </div><div class="message_to">To: Drew (X3N0PH0N) <span><span class="image post_read" title="Read: 2 Aug 2012 22:25"></span></span> <span class="message_count">3 of 392</span><div class="clearer"></div> </div> </div> <div class="message_links"> <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.3">39777.3</a> In reply to <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.1#a39777_2" target="_self">39777.2</a></div> <div class="message_body"> <div class="quotetext" id="quote"><b>quote: </b></div><div class="quote">You're all like "Woooooo, wooooo...</div><br /> I think that means he's trying to mate with you?</div> <div class="message_footer"> <div class="message_footer_links"><a href="lpost.php?webtag=DEFAULT&reply_to=39777.3&return_msg=39777.1" class="reply"><span class="image post"></span>Reply</a></div> <div class="message_vote_form" data-msg="39777.3"> <span class="rating">0/0</span> <span class="image vote vote_down vote_down_off" title="Vote Down"></span> <span class="image vote vote_up vote_up_off" title="Vote Up"></span> </div> </div> </div><a name="a39777_4"></a><div class="message" id="message_39777_4"> <div class="message_header"> <div class="message_from"> From: patch<span class="message_time"> 2 Aug 2012 22:14</span> <div class="clearer"></div> </div><div class="message_to">To: Peter (BOUGHTONP) <span><span class="image post_read" title="Read: 2 Aug 2012 22:16"></span></span> <span class="message_count">4 of 392</span><div class="clearer"></div> </div> </div> <div class="message_links"> <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.4">39777.4</a> In reply to <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.1#a39777_3" target="_self">39777.3</a></div> <div class="message_body"> It would certainly explain the "Just where, when, size and likelihood" sentence.</div> <div class="message_footer"> <div class="message_footer_links"><a href="lpost.php?webtag=DEFAULT&reply_to=39777.4&return_msg=39777.1" class="reply"><span class="image post"></span>Reply</a></div> <div class="message_vote_form" data-msg="39777.4"> <span class="rating">0/0</span> <span class="image vote vote_down vote_down_off" title="Vote Down"></span> <span class="image vote vote_up vote_up_off" title="Vote Up"></span> </div> </div> </div><a name="a39777_5"></a><div class="message" id="message_39777_5"> <div class="message_header"> <div class="message_from"> From: Drew (X3N0PH0N)<span class="message_time"> 2 Aug 2012 22:25</span> <div class="clearer"></div> </div><div class="message_to">To: patch <span><span class="image post_read" title="Read: 2 Aug 2012 22:26"></span></span> <span class="message_count">5 of 392</span><div class="clearer"></div> </div> </div> <div class="message_links"> <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.5">39777.5</a> In reply to <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.1#a39777_4" target="_self">39777.4</a></div> <div class="message_body"> <span class="emoticon e_giggle" title="(giggle)"><span class="e__">(giggle)</span></span></div> <div class="message_footer"> <div class="message_footer_links"><a href="lpost.php?webtag=DEFAULT&reply_to=39777.5&return_msg=39777.1" class="reply"><span class="image post"></span>Reply</a></div> <div class="message_vote_form" data-msg="39777.5"> <span class="rating">0/0</span> <span class="image vote vote_down vote_down_off" title="Vote Down"></span> <span class="image vote vote_up vote_up_off" title="Vote Up"></span> </div> </div> </div><a name="a39777_6"></a><div class="message" id="message_39777_6"> <div class="message_header"> <div class="message_from"> From: koswix<span class="message_time"> 2 Aug 2012 22:43</span> <div class="clearer"></div> </div><div class="message_to">To: Drew (X3N0PH0N) <span><span class="image post_read" title="Read: 2 Aug 2012 22:44"></span></span> <span class="message_count">6 of 392</span><div class="clearer"></div> </div> </div> <div class="message_links"> <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.6">39777.6</a> In reply to <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.1#a39777_2" target="_self">39777.2</a></div> <div class="message_body"> Heh, When I saw <a href="http://translate.google.co.uk/translate?hl=en&sl=fr&u=http://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/St%25C3%25A9phane_Garelli&prev=/search%3Fq%3DSt%25C3%25A9phane%2BGarelli%2Bwikipedia%26hl%3Den%26safe%3Doff%26client%3Dfirefox-a%26hs%3D7yP%26rls%3Dorg.mozilla:en-US:official%26biw%3D1280%26bih%3D647%26prmd%3Dimvns&sa=X&ei=IgIbUIj7F-iJ0AXQjIGoDw&ved=0CFAQ7gEwAA">Stephane Geralli</a> speak earlier this year he said that an economist's job was to make astrologers look good.</div> <div class="message_footer"> <div class="message_footer_links"><a href="lpost.php?webtag=DEFAULT&reply_to=39777.6&return_msg=39777.1" class="reply"><span class="image post"></span>Reply</a></div> <div class="message_vote_form" data-msg="39777.6"> <span class="rating">0/0</span> <span class="image vote vote_down vote_down_off" title="Vote Down"></span> <span class="image vote vote_up vote_up_off" title="Vote Up"></span> </div> </div> </div><a name="a39777_7"></a><div class="message" id="message_39777_7"> <div class="message_header"> <div class="message_from"> From: Drew (X3N0PH0N)<span class="message_time"> 2 Aug 2012 22:44</span> <div class="clearer"></div> </div><div class="message_to">To: koswix <span><span class="image post_read" title="Read: 2 Aug 2012 22:46"></span></span> <span class="message_count">7 of 392</span><div class="clearer"></div> </div> </div> <div class="message_links"> <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.7">39777.7</a> In reply to <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.1#a39777_6" target="_self">39777.6</a></div> <div class="message_body"> I heard it from the West Wing <span class="emoticon e_embarrassed" title=":$"><span class="e__">:$</span></span></div> <div class="message_footer"> <div class="message_footer_links"><a href="lpost.php?webtag=DEFAULT&reply_to=39777.7&return_msg=39777.1" class="reply"><span class="image post"></span>Reply</a></div> <div class="message_vote_form" data-msg="39777.7"> <span class="rating">0/0</span> <span class="image vote vote_down vote_down_off" title="Vote Down"></span> <span class="image vote vote_up vote_up_off" title="Vote Up"></span> </div> </div> </div><a name="a39777_8"></a><div class="message" id="message_39777_8"> <div class="message_header"> <div class="message_from"> From: koswix<span class="message_time"> 2 Aug 2012 22:47</span> <div class="clearer"></div> </div><div class="message_to">To: Drew (X3N0PH0N) <span><span class="image post_read" title="Read: 2 Aug 2012 22:48"></span></span> <span class="message_count">8 of 392</span><div class="clearer"></div> </div> </div> <div class="message_links"> <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.8">39777.8</a> In reply to <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.1#a39777_7" target="_self">39777.7</a></div> <div class="message_body"> He probably nicked it from the West Wing. I'm pretty sure he'd gone on about how great the West Wing was just before that <span class="emoticon e_embarrassed" title=":$"><span class="e__">:$</span></span></div> <div class="message_footer"> <div class="message_footer_links"><a href="lpost.php?webtag=DEFAULT&reply_to=39777.8&return_msg=39777.1" class="reply"><span class="image post"></span>Reply</a></div> <div class="message_vote_form" data-msg="39777.8"> <span class="rating">0/0</span> <span class="image vote vote_down vote_down_off" title="Vote Down"></span> <span class="image vote vote_up vote_up_off" title="Vote Up"></span> </div> </div> </div><a name="a39777_9"></a><div class="message" id="message_39777_9"> <div class="message_header"> <div class="message_from"> From: Drew (X3N0PH0N)<span class="message_time"> 2 Aug 2012 22:48</span> <div class="clearer"></div> </div><div class="message_to">To: koswix <span><span class="image post_read" title="Read: 2 Aug 2012 22:48"></span></span> <span class="message_count">9 of 392</span><div class="clearer"></div> </div> </div> <div class="message_links"> <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.9">39777.9</a> In reply to <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.1#a39777_8" target="_self">39777.8</a></div> <div class="message_body"> Well he's right. The West Wing is fucking great.</div> <div class="message_footer"> <div class="message_footer_links"><a href="lpost.php?webtag=DEFAULT&reply_to=39777.9&return_msg=39777.1" class="reply"><span class="image post"></span>Reply</a></div> <div class="message_vote_form" data-msg="39777.9"> <span class="rating">0/0</span> <span class="image vote vote_down vote_down_off" title="Vote Down"></span> <span class="image vote vote_up vote_up_off" title="Vote Up"></span> </div> </div> </div><a name="a39777_10"></a><div class="message" id="message_39777_10"> <div class="message_header"> <div class="message_from"> From: koswix<span class="message_time"> 2 Aug 2012 22:49</span> <div class="clearer"></div> </div><div class="message_to">To: Drew (X3N0PH0N) <span><span class="image post_read" title="Read: 2 Aug 2012 22:54"></span></span> <span class="message_count">10 of 392</span><div class="clearer"></div> </div> </div> <div class="message_links"> <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.10">39777.10</a> In reply to <a href="lmessages.php?webtag=DEFAULT&msg=39777.1#a39777_9" target="_self">39777.9</a></div> <div class="message_body"> <p>Not really seen it <span class="emoticon e_embarrassed" title=":$"><span class="e__">:$</span></span></p> <p> </p> <p>I did like the bit after he (the guy) said the above, where he told a room full of CEOs etc. that, basically, we're all fucked, regardless of Scottish Independence.</p></div> <div class="message_footer"> <div class="message_footer_links"><a href="lpost.php?webtag=DEFAULT&reply_to=39777.10&return_msg=39777.1" class="reply"><span class="image post"></span>Reply</a></div> <div class="message_vote_form" data-msg="39777.10"> <span class="rating">0/0</span> <span class="image vote vote_down vote_down_off" title="Vote Down"></span> <span class="image vote vote_up vote_up_off" title="Vote Up"></span> </div> </div> </div></div> <div class="message_page_footer"> <ul> <li class="right_col"><form accept-charset="utf-8" method="get" action="lmessages.php" target="_self"><input type="hidden" name="webtag" id="webtag" class="bhinputtext" value="DEFAULT" dir="ltr" /><input type="hidden" name="msg" id="msg" class="bhinputtext" value="39777.11" dir="ltr" /><input type="submit" name="submit" id="keep_reading" value="Keep reading…" class="button" /></form></li> </ul> </div> </div> </body>